One of the fundamental tenets that any analytics newbie needs to learn is that -
Correlation does not imply Causation !
Using statistical techniques, we might find a relationship between two events, but that does not mean that the occurrence of an event causes the other event. Jotting down a few amusing examples that I found from the internet.
- The faster windmills are observed to rotate, the more wind is observed to be. Therefore wind is caused by the rotation of windmills
- Sleeping with one's shoes on is strongly correlated with waking up with a headache. Therefore, sleeping with one's shoes on causes headache.
- As ice cream sales increase, the rate of drowning deaths increases sharply. Therefore, ice cream consumption causes drowning.
- Since the 1950s, both the atmospheric CO2 level and obesity levels have increased sharply. Hence, atmospheric CO2 causes obesity.
- The more firemen are sent to a fire, the more damage is done.
- Children who get tutored get worse grades than children who do not get tutored
- In the early elementary school years, astrological sign is correlated with IQ, but this correlation weakens with age and disappears by adulthood.
- My dog is more likely to have an accident in the house if it’s very cold out.